I think it was a helpful suggestion. I am happy that you liked the simplicity of the argument. The idea was it was meant to be as concise as possible to make the flaws seem more easy to spot. The argument relies on a range of assumptions but I deliberately left out the more confident assumptions. I find the topic of predicting AI development challenging, and was hoping this argument tree would be an efficient way of recognizing the more challenging parts.
The above reply has two disagreement votes. I am trying to discern which reasons they are for. Disagree vote this post if you disagree that Mitchell_Porters suggestion was helpful.
I think it was a helpful suggestion. I am happy that you liked the simplicity of the argument. The idea was it was meant to be as concise as possible to make the flaws seem more easy to spot. The argument relies on a range of assumptions but I deliberately left out the more confident assumptions. I find the topic of predicting AI development challenging, and was hoping this argument tree would be an efficient way of recognizing the more challenging parts.
Disagree vote this post if you disagree that the topic of predicting AI development is challenging.
Disagree vote this post if you disagree with liking the simplicity of the original post.
The above reply has two disagreement votes. I am trying to discern which reasons they are for. Disagree vote this post if you disagree that Mitchell_Porters suggestion was helpful.