Cool, glad I understood. Yes, the argument could be made more specific with probabilities. At this stage, I’m deliberately being vague because that allows for more flexibility—ie. there are multiple ways you can assign probabilities and values to the premises such that they will support the conclusion and I don’t want to specify just one of them at the expense of others.
If I get to the end of the project I plan to consider the argument in detail in which case I will start to give more specific (though certainly not precise) probabilities for different premises.
Cool, glad I understood. Yes, the argument could be made more specific with probabilities. At this stage, I’m deliberately being vague because that allows for more flexibility—ie. there are multiple ways you can assign probabilities and values to the premises such that they will support the conclusion and I don’t want to specify just one of them at the expense of others.
If I get to the end of the project I plan to consider the argument in detail in which case I will start to give more specific (though certainly not precise) probabilities for different premises.