This is a good idea and I should have done it anyway a long time a go. But in order for that to work for this particular plan, I’d need a pretty concentrated dose, at least at the beginning. Do you have anything to recommend for a quick intense dose of forecasting education?
A third thing might be forecasting. Go to Metaculus or GJOpen and train to make predictions.
You could also make predictions relevant to your work. Will XY attend the meeting? Will this meeting result in outcome X?
This is a good idea and I should have done it anyway a long time a go. But in order for that to work for this particular plan, I’d need a pretty concentrated dose, at least at the beginning. Do you have anything to recommend for a quick intense dose of forecasting education?
I think Tetlock’s Superforcasting book is great.