Reading through the context confirms that the relevant probability is p(increased knowledge). I have no specified position on whether the knowledge gained is sufficient to justify the expenditure of effort.
Indeed. I forgot. Oops.
Often it clearly isn’t; so don’t do that sort of research.
Don’t spend $200 million trying to determine if there are a prime number of green rocks in Texas.
Reading through the context confirms that the relevant probability is p(increased knowledge). I have no specified position on whether the knowledge gained is sufficient to justify the expenditure of effort.
Indeed. I forgot. Oops.
Often it clearly isn’t; so don’t do that sort of research.
Don’t spend $200 million trying to determine if there are a prime number of green rocks in Texas.