Some examples of possible misinterpretations would add value to your post.
Then write them in the comments. I intentionally added screenshots of all the emails so that’s easy for people to offer alternative interpretations. In cases like the “weird trick” climate science emails hack it’s really easy to provide alternative interpretations.
With the climate emails part of the problem was the use of language in a different sense from its normal meaning. In scientific fields, trick is often used in the sense of a nifty hack, with nothing sinister implied. Just as in common parlance “theory” means something far less definite than it does in scientific discourse, more like what scientists would call a hypothesis.
That’s right but my post is about things like after having a conferences call with other experts where some advocate hypothesis X and other Y saying three days later that X is a crackpot theory. Or calling for putting pressure on a team that’s founded.
In a case like getting words like trick/theory wrongly interpreted it’s easy to provide alternative interpretations in the comments.
1. As pointed out in the article, the fact that the lan leak was artificially suppressed does not mean it is right.
While that is true in this post the arguments I’m making for that thesis are arguments not made by landfish and by which they concluded 85% likelihood of a lab leak but mostly orthogonal to those arguments. In addition Eliezer was a month ago at 80% and Nate Silver at that time at 60%.
Are there any people in our community who have an openly stated probability that’s still under 50%?
Then write them in the comments. I intentionally added screenshots of all the emails so that’s easy for people to offer alternative interpretations. In cases like the “weird trick” climate science emails hack it’s really easy to provide alternative interpretations.
That’s right but my post is about things like after having a conferences call with other experts where some advocate hypothesis X and other Y saying three days later that X is a crackpot theory. Or calling for putting pressure on a team that’s founded.
In a case like getting words like trick/theory wrongly interpreted it’s easy to provide alternative interpretations in the comments.
While that is true in this post the arguments I’m making for that thesis are arguments not made by landfish and by which they concluded 85% likelihood of a lab leak but mostly orthogonal to those arguments. In addition Eliezer was a month ago at 80% and Nate Silver at that time at 60%.
Are there any people in our community who have an openly stated probability that’s still under 50%?