It might be nice to see a breakdown of this goal from an epistemic vs instrumental rationality perspective. I.e. from an epistemic perspective, your terminal value is probably NOT to found a startup. It is probably something else: money? seeing an idea instituted? control over your daily activities? What are the best ways to achieve those things? “Found a startup” is probably only a tiny part of the answer to these questions.
From an instrumental perspective, evaluating business plans and estimating risk seems difficult but in a straightforward way. I don’t see what new insights it would offer to the rationality community, unless you could provide some case examples as an exercise in identifying bias.
I can see another direction you could go with this. A community of rationalists should “win”. If winning implies developing a comparative advantage at something, and business tells us comparative advantage can be translated into money, then why not monetize on our comparative advantage (if it exists)? You could ask what these businesses would look like. But I suspect they look like businesses do already: e.g. Google has a more rational way of evaluating relevance, and has turned that comparative advantage into profit.
It might be nice to see a breakdown of this goal from an epistemic vs instrumental rationality perspective. I.e. from an epistemic perspective, your terminal value is probably NOT to found a startup. It is probably something else: money? seeing an idea instituted? control over your daily activities? What are the best ways to achieve those things? “Found a startup” is probably only a tiny part of the answer to these questions.
From an instrumental perspective, evaluating business plans and estimating risk seems difficult but in a straightforward way. I don’t see what new insights it would offer to the rationality community, unless you could provide some case examples as an exercise in identifying bias.
I can see another direction you could go with this. A community of rationalists should “win”. If winning implies developing a comparative advantage at something, and business tells us comparative advantage can be translated into money, then why not monetize on our comparative advantage (if it exists)? You could ask what these businesses would look like. But I suspect they look like businesses do already: e.g. Google has a more rational way of evaluating relevance, and has turned that comparative advantage into profit.