Our point-estimate best model plausibly says so, but, structural uncertainty? (It’s not privileging the non-simulation hypothesis to say that structural uncertainty should lower this probability, or is it?)
That’s a good question. My impression is that it is somewhat. But in the figures we are giving here we seem to be trying to convey two distinct concepts (not just likelyhoods).
That’s a good question. My impression is that it is somewhat. But in the figures we are giving here we seem to be trying to convey two distinct concepts (not just likelyhoods).