Bureaucracy. A centralised project would probably be more bureaucratic.
But you’re completely right that we frame this as a reason that centralisation might not increase the lead on China, and therefore framing it as a point against centralisation.
Whereas you’re presumably saying that slowing down progress would buy us more time to solve alignment, and so framing it as a significant point for centralisation.
I personally don’t favour bureaucracy that slows things down and reduce competence in a non-targeted way—I think competently prioritising work to reduce AI risk during the AI transition will be important. But I think your position is reasonable here
Thanks! Great point.
We do say:
But you’re completely right that we frame this as a reason that centralisation might not increase the lead on China, and therefore framing it as a point against centralisation.
Whereas you’re presumably saying that slowing down progress would buy us more time to solve alignment, and so framing it as a significant point for centralisation.
I personally don’t favour bureaucracy that slows things down and reduce competence in a non-targeted way—I think competently prioritising work to reduce AI risk during the AI transition will be important. But I think your position is reasonable here