I think several things here, considering the broader thread:
You’ve done a great job in communicating several reactions I also had:
There are signs of serious mispredictions and mistakes in some of the 2008 posts.
There are ways to read these posts as not that bad in hindsight, but we should be careful in giving too much benefit of the doubt.
Overall these observations constitute important evidence on EY’s alignment intuitions and ability to make qualitative AI predictions.
I did a bad job of marking my interpretations of what Eliezer wrote, as opposed to claiming he did dismiss ANNs. Hopefully my edits have fixed my mistakes.
I think several things here, considering the broader thread:
You’ve done a great job in communicating several reactions I also had:
There are signs of serious mispredictions and mistakes in some of the 2008 posts.
There are ways to read these posts as not that bad in hindsight, but we should be careful in giving too much benefit of the doubt.
Overall these observations constitute important evidence on EY’s alignment intuitions and ability to make qualitative AI predictions.
I did a bad job of marking my interpretations of what Eliezer wrote, as opposed to claiming he did dismiss ANNs. Hopefully my edits have fixed my mistakes.