Maybe not. Game theoretically, making yourself visibly vulnerable to Pascal’s Muggings may guarantee that they will occur, making them cease to constitute evidence.
I’ve actually just expanded on this idea in the original Pascal’s Mugging article. If the Mugger’s claims are in no way associated with you or similar muggings, then conceivably you should take the probability at face value. But if that’s not the case, then the probability of a direct manipulation attempt should also be taken into consideration, negating the increase in claimed utility.
Maybe not. Game theoretically, making yourself visibly vulnerable to Pascal’s Muggings may guarantee that they will occur, making them cease to constitute evidence.
I’ve actually just expanded on this idea in the original Pascal’s Mugging article. If the Mugger’s claims are in no way associated with you or similar muggings, then conceivably you should take the probability at face value. But if that’s not the case, then the probability of a direct manipulation attempt should also be taken into consideration, negating the increase in claimed utility.
I think that solves it.