One thing helping me to preserve hope is the fact that there are so many unknown variables about AGI and how humanity will respond to it, that I don’t think that any current-day prediction is worth a lot.
Although I must admit, doomers like Connor Leahy and Eliezer Yudkovsky might be extremely persuasive but they also don’t know many important things about the future and they are also full of cognitive biases. All of this makes me tell myself a mantra “There is still hope that we might win”.
I am not sure whether this is the best way to think about these risks but I feel like if I’ll give it up, it is a straightforward path to existential anxiety and misery, so I try not to question it too much.
One thing helping me to preserve hope is the fact that there are so many unknown variables about AGI and how humanity will respond to it, that I don’t think that any current-day prediction is worth a lot.
Although I must admit, doomers like Connor Leahy and Eliezer Yudkovsky might be extremely persuasive but they also don’t know many important things about the future and they are also full of cognitive biases. All of this makes me tell myself a mantra “There is still hope that we might win”.
I am not sure whether this is the best way to think about these risks but I feel like if I’ll give it up, it is a straightforward path to existential anxiety and misery, so I try not to question it too much.
This is explicitly the discussion the OP asked to avoid.