I think natural selection has lots of similarities to R&D, but (i) there are lots of ways of drawing the analogy, (ii) some important features of R&D are missing in evolution, including some really important ones for fast takeoff arguments (like the existence of actors who think ahead).
If someones wants to spell out why they think evolution of hominids means takeoff is fast then I’m usually happy to explain why I disagree with their particular analogy. I think this happens in the next discord log between me and Eliezer.
I think natural selection has lots of similarities to R&D, but (i) there are lots of ways of drawing the analogy, (ii) some important features of R&D are missing in evolution, including some really important ones for fast takeoff arguments (like the existence of actors who think ahead).
If someones wants to spell out why they think evolution of hominids means takeoff is fast then I’m usually happy to explain why I disagree with their particular analogy. I think this happens in the next discord log between me and Eliezer.