I suspect that indeed EY’s model has a limited ability to make near-term predictions, so that yes, the situation is asymmetrical. But I suspect his view is similar to my view, so I don’t think EY is wrong. But I am confused about why EY (i) hasn’t replied himself and (ii) in general, doesn’t communicate more clearly on this topic.
I suspect that indeed EY’s model has a limited ability to make near-term predictions, so that yes, the situation is asymmetrical. But I suspect his view is similar to my view, so I don’t think EY is wrong. But I am confused about why EY (i) hasn’t replied himself and (ii) in general, doesn’t communicate more clearly on this topic.