When I first read down this, I decided to assume it’s equally likely that he’s right and you’re the fool, thus assigning ~50% probability either way. Taking the 10,000 bird flu meds became a no-brainer.
Another way to look at it is that you consider the malaria meds valuable and the bird flu meds worthless, and vice versa for him. By Ricardo’s law, it’s thus best to take the bird flu medication, and trade with the other doctor before seeing Dr. House, and you can pretend as if you were simply offered 5,000 malaria meds versus 10,000 malaria meds.
This does appear to meet the entire definition of the Prisoner’s Dilemma, but, for some reason, I have much less trouble imagining myself cooperating than in most versions.
When I first read down this, I decided to assume it’s equally likely that he’s right and you’re the fool, thus assigning ~50% probability either way. Taking the 10,000 bird flu meds became a no-brainer.
Another way to look at it is that you consider the malaria meds valuable and the bird flu meds worthless, and vice versa for him. By Ricardo’s law, it’s thus best to take the bird flu medication, and trade with the other doctor before seeing Dr. House, and you can pretend as if you were simply offered 5,000 malaria meds versus 10,000 malaria meds.
This does appear to meet the entire definition of the Prisoner’s Dilemma, but, for some reason, I have much less trouble imagining myself cooperating than in most versions.