Putin’s military seems to run out of high precision ammunition and does not do well on the battlefield currently. It’s hard to say how much of this is due to export controls and how much is due to other factors.
North Korea doesn’t seems to have a lot of reliable intercontinental missiles. Their tech development seems quite slowed down. It isn’t zero but also not fast.
China’s tech advancement are a result of the West outsourcing a lot of tech production to China and not having embargos. I don’t know much about Chinese military tech.
Iran still doesn’t have nuclear weapons. It might still get them, but there’s certainly a slowdown of development.
Nuclear and ballistic technology is pretty well understood for decades developing AGI without having existing designs to copy will be much harder.
Putin’s military seems to run out of high precision ammunition and does not do well on the battlefield currently. It’s hard to say how much of this is due to export controls and how much is due to other factors.
North Korea doesn’t seems to have a lot of reliable intercontinental missiles. Their tech development seems quite slowed down. It isn’t zero but also not fast.
China’s tech advancement are a result of the West outsourcing a lot of tech production to China and not having embargos. I don’t know much about Chinese military tech.
Iran still doesn’t have nuclear weapons. It might still get them, but there’s certainly a slowdown of development.
Nuclear and ballistic technology is pretty well understood for decades developing AGI without having existing designs to copy will be much harder.