Yeah this came up in a number of times during covid forecasting in 2020. Eg, you might expect the correlational effect of having a lockdown during times of expected high mortality load to outweigh any causal advantages on mortality of lockdowns.
Do I understand this correctly as: “Countries with more deaths are more likely to do lockdowns, which may result in: ‘the countries that did lockdowns actually had more covid deaths than the countries that did not’.”?
Yeah this came up in a number of times during covid forecasting in 2020. Eg, you might expect the correlational effect of having a lockdown during times of expected high mortality load to outweigh any causal advantages on mortality of lockdowns.
Do I understand this correctly as: “Countries with more deaths are more likely to do lockdowns, which may result in: ‘the countries that did lockdowns actually had more covid deaths than the countries that did not’.”?
Yep.