It deliberately doesn’t assume anything especially different or weird happens, only that trend lines keep going.
Of course they are fitting an exponential curve, and only one thing happens when you do that. (Newborn on track to swallow the sun by 2040.) You can get a hyperbolic curve to fit about equally as well [citation needed] and predict negative infinity resources on Jan 2 2028. I wish they had defended this choice a bit more clearly. Like plot binomial and sigmoid best fit for comparison, to show it really does look like an exponential. (Y axis can be something arbitrary, like the price of land measured in gold.) An exponential makes sense, when an output is an input, so I would agree with it, but you can say the same thing about a puppy’s cells & organs.
Of course they are fitting an exponential curve, and only one thing happens when you do that. (Newborn on track to swallow the sun by 2040.) You can get a hyperbolic curve to fit about equally as well [citation needed] and predict negative infinity resources on Jan 2 2028. I wish they had defended this choice a bit more clearly. Like plot binomial and sigmoid best fit for comparison, to show it really does look like an exponential. (Y axis can be something arbitrary, like the price of land measured in gold.) An exponential makes sense, when an output is an input, so I would agree with it, but you can say the same thing about a puppy’s cells & organs.