This may very well be the case today, or in our society, but it’s not really difficult to imagine a society in which you have to ‘hold’ really crazy idea in order to win.
Also, believing true things is an endeavour which is never completed per se: it surely is not possible to have it sorted out simpliciter before attaining 2 (the third imperative I really see as a subgoal of the second one).
The thesis after all conflicts with basically all history of humanity: homo sapiens has won more and more without attaining a perfect accuracy. However it seems to me that it had won more where it accumulated a greater amount of truths.
So I won’t really say that in order to win you have to be accurate, but I think a strong case can be made that accuracy enhances the probability of winning.
What is then the real purpose of rationality? I’m perfectly fine if we accept the conjunction “truth /\ winning”, with the provision that
P(winning | high degree of truth) > P(winning | low degree of truth). However, if Omega is going to pop-up and ask:
You must choose between two alternatives. I can give you the real TOE and
remove your cognitive bias if you accept to live a miserable life, or you can live a
very comfortable and satisfying existence, provided that you let me implant the
belief in the flying spaghetti monster.
This may very well be the case today, or in our society, but it’s not really difficult to imagine a society in which you have to ‘hold’ really crazy idea in order to win. Also, believing true things is an endeavour which is never completed per se: it surely is not possible to have it sorted out simpliciter before attaining 2 (the third imperative I really see as a subgoal of the second one).
The thesis after all conflicts with basically all history of humanity: homo sapiens has won more and more without attaining a perfect accuracy. However it seems to me that it had won more where it accumulated a greater amount of truths.
So I won’t really say that in order to win you have to be accurate, but I think a strong case can be made that accuracy enhances the probability of winning.
What is then the real purpose of rationality? I’m perfectly fine if we accept the conjunction “truth /\ winning”, with the provision that P(winning | high degree of truth) > P(winning | low degree of truth). However, if Omega is going to pop-up and ask:
I confess I would guiltily choose the second.