In a tournament with a fixed number of rounds and a known random strategy, it would be a bit weird to just use vanilla tit-for-tat, but yeah. It will be a bit boring if all the strategies are nice.
Besides, its not such a big deal, the paradox of induction is an interesting problem, if I was very optimistic I might suggest that this could throw some light on it.
If you expect to play against tit-for-tat strategies and a random strategy then you would know that tit-for-tat cannot be expected to win. I’d be surprised if lots of people submit strategies that have almost no chance of winning.
So, anyone want to bet on what proportion of strategies will be tit-for-tat? I’m fairly confident it’ll be more than half.
(I should be clear, I mean the number of submitted strategies, as duplicate strategies are treated as one strategy.)
In a tournament with a fixed number of rounds and a known random strategy, it would be a bit weird to just use vanilla tit-for-tat, but yeah. It will be a bit boring if all the strategies are nice.
That’s a bit disappointing, but so be it.
It did say so in the OP.
Besides, its not such a big deal, the paradox of induction is an interesting problem, if I was very optimistic I might suggest that this could throw some light on it.
If you expect to play against tit-for-tat strategies and a random strategy then you would know that tit-for-tat cannot be expected to win. I’d be surprised if lots of people submit strategies that have almost no chance of winning.