It’s interesting to see what your concerns are. There’s probably less research on these kinds of feedback loops/tail risks then there should be. Part of the problem is just how uncertain they are—a combination of the difficulty of measuring things like methane releases and the problem of not being able to resolve these processes in models. Our best guide is probably paleoclimate observations, but I’m not an expert on these.
In terms of blogs, Real Climate is the best place to start. They can get combative, and they aren’t always the most rigorous researchers, but they at least give you a sense of what’s going on. Isaac Held is a giant in climate science and had a very widely-read blog for a few years, but he’s mostly gone quiet since the Trump administration took over (he’s a federal scientist). Going through his posts is a great way of getting caught up on the field. I put up notes here occasionally. And for someone with more of a “denier” bent, Judith Curry is worth checking out (though she clearly wants to push the discussion in specific directions). Finally, if you have access to it, Nature Climate Change publishes a lot of good stuff (with the caveat that it wants to publish high profile work), including summaries and perspectives which give overviews of specific subfields and questions. Any important work on tipping points and feedback loops will be in a Nature journal.
Thanks for the response!
It’s interesting to see what your concerns are. There’s probably less research on these kinds of feedback loops/tail risks then there should be. Part of the problem is just how uncertain they are—a combination of the difficulty of measuring things like methane releases and the problem of not being able to resolve these processes in models. Our best guide is probably paleoclimate observations, but I’m not an expert on these.
In terms of blogs, Real Climate is the best place to start. They can get combative, and they aren’t always the most rigorous researchers, but they at least give you a sense of what’s going on. Isaac Held is a giant in climate science and had a very widely-read blog for a few years, but he’s mostly gone quiet since the Trump administration took over (he’s a federal scientist). Going through his posts is a great way of getting caught up on the field. I put up notes here occasionally. And for someone with more of a “denier” bent, Judith Curry is worth checking out (though she clearly wants to push the discussion in specific directions). Finally, if you have access to it, Nature Climate Change publishes a lot of good stuff (with the caveat that it wants to publish high profile work), including summaries and perspectives which give overviews of specific subfields and questions. Any important work on tipping points and feedback loops will be in a Nature journal.