Eliezer and Max and Dan could give their own takes here. My guess is there was a breaking of EA consensus on taking the PR-conservative route, and then these things started happening. I think some of that breaking was due to FTX.
Eliezer started talking about high P(doom) around the Palmcone which I think was more like peak FTX hype. And it seemed like his subsequent comms were part of a trend that began with the MIRI dialogues the year before. I’d bet against FTX collapse being that causal at least for him.
Yes, but I’m drawing a line from ‘MIRI dialogues’ through Death With Dignity and modeling Eliezer generally and I think the line just points roughly at the Time piece without FTX.
Eliezer and Max and Dan could give their own takes here. My guess is there was a breaking of EA consensus on taking the PR-conservative route, and then these things started happening. I think some of that breaking was due to FTX.
Eliezer started talking about high P(doom) around the Palmcone which I think was more like peak FTX hype. And it seemed like his subsequent comms were part of a trend that began with the MIRI dialogues the year before. I’d bet against FTX collapse being that causal at least for him.
I don’t think Death with Dignity or the List O’ Doom posts are at all FTX-collapse related. I am talking about things like the Time piece.
Yes, but I’m drawing a line from ‘MIRI dialogues’ through Death With Dignity and modeling Eliezer generally and I think the line just points roughly at the Time piece without FTX.