The two situations are not necessarily equivalent.
See my most recent response in the Pascal’s Mugging thread—taking into account the Mugger’s intentions & motives is relevant to the probability calculation.
Having said that, probably the two situations ARE equivalent—in both cases an increasingly high number indicates a higher probability that you are being manipulated.
The two situations are not necessarily equivalent.
See my most recent response in the Pascal’s Mugging thread—taking into account the Mugger’s intentions & motives is relevant to the probability calculation.
Having said that, probably the two situations ARE equivalent—in both cases an increasingly high number indicates a higher probability that you are being manipulated.