“GPT-3 by itself shouldn’t scare you very much, I think, but as part of a pattern I think it’s scary.”
Exactly. Combining it with other parts, like an agent and something else, like an AI researcher whose name I can’t recall said in YouTube interview that I watched (titled something like “GPT-3 is the fire alarm for AGI” (reasons: GPT-2 was kinda dumb and just scalling the model turned into something drastically better, plus the combination aspect that I mentioned).
“Why is it crappy to be alive now? If you want a nice life, now’s fairly okay, esp. compared to most of history. If you’re worried about the future, best to be in the time that most matters, which is now, so you can do the most good. It does suck that there’s all that wasted potential though.”
Well isn’t it easy to tell?? Life is certainly more comfortable now, and mine certainly has been, but there’s a) the immense gloom of knowing the current situation, I don’t think any other human in history thought he or his fellow humans might come to face s-risk scenarios (except maybe those fooled by promises of Hell in religions, but I never saw any theist seriously stressed over it)
b) the possibility of being caught in a treacherous turn ending in s-risk scenario, making you paranoid 24⁄7 and considering… Well, bad things. That vastly outweighs any comfort advantage. Specially when your personal timelines are as short as mine.
And about helping… Again, sorry for being extremely depressing, but it’s just how it is: I don’t see any hope, don’t see any way out, specially because of, again, my short timelines, say 5-10 years. I’m with Eliezer that only a miracle can save us at this point. I started praying to a benevolent creator that might be listening, started hoping for aliens to save us, started hoping for the existence of Illuminati to save us, etc. such is my despair.
“GPT-3 by itself shouldn’t scare you very much, I think, but as part of a pattern I think it’s scary.”
Exactly. Combining it with other parts, like an agent and something else, like an AI researcher whose name I can’t recall said in YouTube interview that I watched (titled something like “GPT-3 is the fire alarm for AGI” (reasons: GPT-2 was kinda dumb and just scalling the model turned into something drastically better, plus the combination aspect that I mentioned).
“Why is it crappy to be alive now? If you want a nice life, now’s fairly okay, esp. compared to most of history. If you’re worried about the future, best to be in the time that most matters, which is now, so you can do the most good. It does suck that there’s all that wasted potential though.”
Well isn’t it easy to tell?? Life is certainly more comfortable now, and mine certainly has been, but there’s a) the immense gloom of knowing the current situation, I don’t think any other human in history thought he or his fellow humans might come to face s-risk scenarios (except maybe those fooled by promises of Hell in religions, but I never saw any theist seriously stressed over it)
b) the possibility of being caught in a treacherous turn ending in s-risk scenario, making you paranoid 24⁄7 and considering… Well, bad things. That vastly outweighs any comfort advantage. Specially when your personal timelines are as short as mine.
And about helping… Again, sorry for being extremely depressing, but it’s just how it is: I don’t see any hope, don’t see any way out, specially because of, again, my short timelines, say 5-10 years. I’m with Eliezer that only a miracle can save us at this point. I started praying to a benevolent creator that might be listening, started hoping for aliens to save us, started hoping for the existence of Illuminati to save us, etc. such is my despair.