Hm, true. My impression is that they’d be pretty likely to explode though, and that each side has enough nukes where even if some didn’t explode, they would just use others, and so it is the desire to use a nuke that really matters. And yeah, I think the existence of China (and North Korea) does increase the risk slightly. Neither thing seems large enough to really sway the results I found though.
Hm, true. My impression is that they’d be pretty likely to explode though, and that each side has enough nukes where even if some didn’t explode, they would just use others, and so it is the desire to use a nuke that really matters. And yeah, I think the existence of China (and North Korea) does increase the risk slightly. Neither thing seems large enough to really sway the results I found though.