Yeah—it’s odd, but TC is a self-professed contrarian after all.
I think the question here is: why doesn’t he actually address the fundamentals of the AGI doom case? The “it’s unlikely / unknown” position is really quite a weak argument which I doubt he would make if he actually understood EY’s position.
Seeing the state of the discourse on AGI risk just makes it more and more clear that the AGI risk awareness movement has failed to express its arguments in terms that non-rationalists can understand.
People like TC should the first type of public intellectual to grok it, because EY’s doom case is is highly analogous to market dynamics. And yet.
Yeah—it’s odd, but TC is a self-professed contrarian after all.
I think the question here is: why doesn’t he actually address the fundamentals of the AGI doom case? The “it’s unlikely / unknown” position is really quite a weak argument which I doubt he would make if he actually understood EY’s position.
Seeing the state of the discourse on AGI risk just makes it more and more clear that the AGI risk awareness movement has failed to express its arguments in terms that non-rationalists can understand.
People like TC should the first type of public intellectual to grok it, because EY’s doom case is is highly analogous to market dynamics. And yet.