It seems to me that the post offers consideration that lean one in the direction of focusing efforts on encouraging good WBE, and that considerations offered in this comment don’t much lean one back in the other direction. They mainly point to as yet unresolved uncertainties that might push us in many directions.
My main aim was to make clear the agreement about WBE being preferable to AI, and the difference between a tech being the most likely route to survival and it being the best marginal use of effort, not to put a large amount of effort into carefully giving and justifying estimates of all the relevant parameters in this comments thread rather than other venues (such as the aforementioned paper).
It seems to me that the post offers consideration that lean one in the direction of focusing efforts on encouraging good WBE, and that considerations offered in this comment don’t much lean one back in the other direction. They mainly point to as yet unresolved uncertainties that might push us in many directions.
My main aim was to make clear the agreement about WBE being preferable to AI, and the difference between a tech being the most likely route to survival and it being the best marginal use of effort, not to put a large amount of effort into carefully giving and justifying estimates of all the relevant parameters in this comments thread rather than other venues (such as the aforementioned paper).