Your projection of the future as written involves fifteen conjunctions. Well, actually, the first few points look more like verifiable empirical facts about the present day world, so those might be okay, but beyond that what you have is a long winded extrapolation leading to catastrophe. And unless each of those steps is nailed down by overwhelming evidence, chances are that the specific scenario you are worried about is a lot less likely than you think.
But, to be fair, some are all-but logical consequences of others. E.g., Points 3 and 5 all-but logically imply Point 7. That is, if the amount of oil produced declines (point 3) and all the alternatives fail to fill the gap (point 5), then the available energy production rate will drop (point 7). (It’s not quite a logical implication because we might find a way to extract more energy from a given amount oil.)
Your projection of the future as written involves fifteen conjunctions. Well, actually, the first few points look more like verifiable empirical facts about the present day world, so those might be okay, but beyond that what you have is a long winded extrapolation leading to catastrophe. And unless each of those steps is nailed down by overwhelming evidence, chances are that the specific scenario you are worried about is a lot less likely than you think.
14 conjunctions. Fifteen statements connected by ands uses fourteen conjuncitons. E.g. “A and B and C” has two uses of “and”.
Fifteen conjuncts, then :).
But, to be fair, some are all-but logical consequences of others. E.g., Points 3 and 5 all-but logically imply Point 7. That is, if the amount of oil produced declines (point 3) and all the alternatives fail to fill the gap (point 5), then the available energy production rate will drop (point 7). (It’s not quite a logical implication because we might find a way to extract more energy from a given amount oil.)