AI is a caveman looking at a group of cavemen shamans performing a strange ritual that summons many strange and somewhat useful beings. Some of the shamans say they’re going to eventually summon a Messiah that will solve all problems. Others say that there’s a chance to summon a world-devouring demon, by mistake. Yet others say neither are going to happen, that the sprites and elementals that the ritual has been bringing into the world are all the ritual can do.
Who should the caveman listen to and why? For bonus points, try sticking to the frame of the analogy.
A lucid analogy:
AI is a caveman looking at a group of cavemen shamans performing a strange ritual that summons many strange and somewhat useful beings. Some of the shamans say they’re going to eventually summon a Messiah that will solve all problems. Others say that there’s a chance to summon a world-devouring demon, by mistake. Yet others say neither are going to happen, that the sprites and elementals that the ritual has been bringing into the world are all the ritual can do.
Who should the caveman listen to and why? For bonus points, try sticking to the frame of the analogy.
The shamans, because Pascal’s Wager.