The credibility link would not be associated with trust in the news paper but trust in the judges of the prediction market. It might be that having a single authority whose one job is to make judmements on what are “objective results” is more efficient than current arrangements. But is it not clear that you could convince randoms that you are fair such checker simply by using a scoring system.
It seems hard for me that somebody that attains a low score to continue to believe that the low score giver is a good authority on others.
The credibility link would not be associated with trust in the news paper but trust in the judges of the prediction market. It might be that having a single authority whose one job is to make judmements on what are “objective results” is more efficient than current arrangements. But is it not clear that you could convince randoms that you are fair such checker simply by using a scoring system.
It seems hard for me that somebody that attains a low score to continue to believe that the low score giver is a good authority on others.
Stuff like Augur or Reality for decentralized oracles is cool for solving this