And contra ike, as a rank 50-100 “metaculuser” who doesn’t have time to predict on everything and get my score higher, I think we should privilege that distinction over all the people who rank higher than me on metaculus. ;)
Having been a rank 50-100 “metaculuser” myself before I completely agree (currently at rank 112).
Good to see so many of us moderately good forecasters are agreeing—now we just need to average then extremize the forecast of how good an idea this is. ;)
Having been a rank 50-100 “metaculuser” myself before I completely agree (currently at rank 112).
Good to see so many of us moderately good forecasters are agreeing—now we just need to average then extremize the forecast of how good an idea this is. ;)