Most of the insights available on LessWrong don’t require people to understand Bayes’ Theorem (or timeless decision theory).
“What you believe after seeing the evidence depends on what you believe before seeing the evidence” is, I think, a decent “layman paraphrase” of Bayes’ theorem that I think people do need to understand.
On TDT, I agree; I regard that as more of a specialized AI topic.
“What you believe after seeing the evidence depends on what you believe before seeing the evidence” is, I think, a decent “layman paraphrase” of Bayes’ theorem that I think people do need to understand.
On TDT, I agree; I regard that as more of a specialized AI topic.