Since Eliezer claims to have figured out so many ideas in the 2000s, his assumptions presumably were locked in before the advent of deep learning. This constitutes a “bottom line.”
I mean it’s worth considering that his P(DOOM) was substantially lower then. He’s definitely updated on existing evidence, just in the opposite direction that you have.
I mean it’s worth considering that his P(DOOM) was substantially lower then. He’s definitely updated on existing evidence, just in the opposite direction that you have.