I mean, all of this feels very speculative and un-cruxy to me; I wouldn’t be surprised if the ASI indeed is able to conclude that humanity is no threat at all, in which case it kills us just to harvest the resources.
I do think that normal predators are a little misleading in this context, though, because they haven’t crossed the generality (‘can do science and tech’) threshold. Tigers won’t invent new machines, so it’s easier to upper-bound their capabilities. General intelligences are at least somewhat qualitatively trickier, because your enemy is ‘the space of all reachable technologies’ (including tech that may be surprisingly reachable). Tigers can surprise you, but not in very many ways and not to a large degree.
I mean, all of this feels very speculative and un-cruxy to me; I wouldn’t be surprised if the ASI indeed is able to conclude that humanity is no threat at all, in which case it kills us just to harvest the resources.
I do think that normal predators are a little misleading in this context, though, because they haven’t crossed the generality (‘can do science and tech’) threshold. Tigers won’t invent new machines, so it’s easier to upper-bound their capabilities. General intelligences are at least somewhat qualitatively trickier, because your enemy is ‘the space of all reachable technologies’ (including tech that may be surprisingly reachable). Tigers can surprise you, but not in very many ways and not to a large degree.