there’s no reason to think we’re doomed just because we can’t slow down. we need simply speed up safety until it has caught up with the leading edge of capabilities.
I want to emphasize this; if doubling the speed of safety is cheaper than halving the rate of progress, and you have limited resources, then you always pick doubling the speed of safety in that scenario.
In the current scenario on earth, trying to slow the rate of progress makes you an enemy of the entire AI industry, whereas increasing the rate of safety does not. Therefore, increasing the rate of safety is the default strategy, because it’s the option that won’t get you an enemy of a powerful military-adjacent industry (which already has/had other enemies, and plenty of experience building its own strategies for dealing with them).
I want to emphasize this; if doubling the speed of safety is cheaper than halving the rate of progress, and you have limited resources, then you always pick doubling the speed of safety in that scenario.
Sure.
In the current scenario on earth, trying to slow the rate of progress makes you an enemy of the entire AI industry, whereas increasing the rate of safety does not. Therefore, increasing the rate of safety is the default strategy, because it’s the option that won’t get you an enemy of a powerful military-adjacent industry (which already has/had other enemies, and plenty of experience building its own strategies for dealing with them).
You’re going to have be less vague in order for me to take you seriously. I understand that you apparently have private information, but I genuinely
can’t figure out what you’d have me believe the CIA is constantly doing to people who oppose its charter in extraordinarily indirect ways like this. If I organize a bunch of protests outside DeepMind headquarters, is the IC going to have me arrested? Stazi-like gaslighting? Pay a bunch of NYT reporters to write mean articles about me and my friends?
I want to emphasize this; if doubling the speed of safety is cheaper than halving the rate of progress, and you have limited resources, then you always pick doubling the speed of safety in that scenario.
In the current scenario on earth, trying to slow the rate of progress makes you an enemy of the entire AI industry, whereas increasing the rate of safety does not. Therefore, increasing the rate of safety is the default strategy, because it’s the option that won’t get you an enemy of a powerful military-adjacent industry (which already has/had other enemies, and plenty of experience building its own strategies for dealing with them).
Sure.
You’re going to have be less vague in order for me to take you seriously. I understand that you apparently have private information, but I genuinely can’t figure out what you’d have me believe the CIA is constantly doing to people who oppose its charter in extraordinarily indirect ways like this. If I organize a bunch of protests outside DeepMind headquarters, is the IC going to have me arrested? Stazi-like gaslighting? Pay a bunch of NYT reporters to write mean articles about me and my friends?