Yes, because the standards for success for nuclear are much lower than they are for AI. Not only did 5 states acquire weapons before the treaty was signed, around four have acquired them since, and this didn’t stop the arms race accumulation of thousands of weapons. This turned out to be enough (so far).
In worlds where nukes ignite the atmosphere the first time you use them, there would have been a different standard of coordination necessary to count as ‘success’. (Or in worlds where we counted the non-signatory states, many of which have nuclear weapons, as failures.)
Yes, because the standards for success for nuclear are much lower than they are for AI. Not only did 5 states acquire weapons before the treaty was signed, around four have acquired them since, and this didn’t stop the arms race accumulation of thousands of weapons. This turned out to be enough (so far).
In worlds where nukes ignite the atmosphere the first time you use them, there would have been a different standard of coordination necessary to count as ‘success’. (Or in worlds where we counted the non-signatory states, many of which have nuclear weapons, as failures.)