I used to think I could tell, but I can’t actually guess accurately based on writing style alone. (Topic choice, sure.)
Writing style can’t be strictly separated from the choice of topic (or rather sub-topics addressed when writing on a given topic), and some of the most powerful clues come exactly from where these things blend into each other. Moreover, in interactive back-and-forth writing on forums and blogs, typical male and female behaviors and attitudes often quickly become apparent, just like in a live conversation, and are clearly detectable in writing.
Someone has already posted a link to a paper whose authors claim to have found measurable statistical differences between male and female styles, but I’m not sure how much (if at all) the usual human intuition relies on those specific clues.
But in any case, I don’t see where exactly you disagree with my above diagnosis, given that it’s discussing what I believe to be a fairly extreme and clear-cut case. Do you think Alicorn’s style doesn’t have the characteristics I described, or that such writing isn’t statistically likely to come from men?
If you want, though, we can see if you can guess the gender of the authors of a few writing samples where the choice of topic doesn’t give it away.
If you have some samples ready, I’d be curious to give it a try.
Two writing samples, one male and one female, from humanities journals:
First:
Machiavelli’s advocacy of force and fraud in the conduct of politics is the key teaching that has secured his reputation as “Machiavellian” and that has led to the conception of “The Prince” as the first document in the Western tradition to lay bare the dark, demonic underside of civic humanism. But this interpretation overlooks the degree to which a politics of intense competition and personal rivalry inhabits the humanist vision from antiquity, producing an ethics of expediency and a rhetoric of imposture that seeks to mask its alertness to advantage behind the guise of integrity and service. This vision is nowhere more apparent than in Cicero’s “De Oratore,” which exerted a powerful influence on the Italian humanists of the quattrocentro in whose direct descent Machiavelli stands. Deception, to put it simply, is an acknowledged and vital element in civic humanism long before “The Prince.” The difference is that Cicero typically couches it in a sacrificial rhetoric that is euphemistically inflected while Machiavelli opts for a hard-edged rhetoric of administrative efficiency to make his case. But the stylistic differences, important as they are, should not mask the essential affinity between the Machiavellian doctrine of princely fraud and the Ciceronian ethics of gentlemanly dissimulation.
Second:
This article analyzes the intellectual content of civic humanism in the specific context of Medici power, asking the question: what ideological role did civic humanism play in Medicean Florence? It argues that there is no contradiction between the ideals of civic humanism and support for the Medici regime. On the contrary, civic humanism could be used to justify and legitimate Medici power. The article analyzes the writings of principal humanists such as Leonardo Bruni, Poggio Bracciolini, and Francesco Filelfo, showing that Hans Baron’s republican “civic humanism” was compatible with different constitutional forms and different distributions of power.
Two excerpts from New York Times articles, one male and one female:
First:
Under newly fortified Republican control, many state governments started the year pledging forceful action to crack down on illegal immigration, saying they would fill a void left by the stalemate in Washington over the issue. Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico backed a repeal to a law granting driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants. Now, with some legislatures winding down their sessions, the lack of consensus that has immobilized Congress has shown up in the legislatures as well, and has slowed — but not stopped — the advance of bills to penalize illegal immigrants. No state has passed a law that replicates the one adopted last April in Arizona, which greatly expanded the powers of police officers to question the immigration status of people they stop. Still, immigrant advocates in many states say the debate has clearly shifted in favor of tougher enforcement. They say they have had to fight just to hold the line on immigration issues that they thought were long settled.
Second:
With the referendum over the constitutional amendments that will shape Egypt’s immediate political future just days away, the country’s nascent political forces were squaring off on Sunday, scrambling to influence a choice that leaves many confused.
The Muslim Brotherhood and rump elements of the disbanded governing National Democratic Party, which both stand to gain the most from a rapid rebirth of electoral politics, support the amendments. Arrayed against them is much, but not all, of the remaining political spectrum, centered on the young organizers behind the Tahrir Square demonstrations who fear a yes vote would ultimately rob them of their revolution. Yet everyone agrees on two things. The referendum, which is scheduled for Saturday, will be a milestone and the first one not rigged outright in about 60 years. “Whether we accept the amendments or we reject them, either situation means a page in our history will turn,” said Amr Shubaki, a political analyst at the state-financed Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies.
Two excerpts from short stories, one male and one female.
First:
An old man with radiation scars surrounding the chromed half of his face limped down a salt-grass covered dune. Metal armatures creaked under his clothing as he thumped heavily across dry sand to wet, scuffing through the black and white line of the high-tide boundary, where the sharp glitter of cast-up teeth tangled in film-shiny ribbons of kelp. About his feet, small combers glittered in the light of a gibbous moon. Above, the sky was deepest indigo: the stars were breathtakingly bright.
The old man, whose name was Aethelred, fetched up against a large piece of seawrack, perhaps the wooden keel of some long-ago ship, and made a little ceremony of seating himself. He relied heavily on his staff until his bad leg was settled, and then he sighed in relief and leaned back, stretching and spreading his robes out around him.
Second:
Kalak rounded a rocky stone ridge and stumbled to a stop before the body of a dying thunderclast. The enormous stone beast lay on its side, riblike protrusions from its chest broken and cracked. The monstrosity was vaguely skeletal in shape, with unnaturally long limbs that sprouted from granite shoulders. The eyes were deep red spots on the arrowhead face, as if created by a fire burning deep within the stone. They faded. Even after all these centuries, seeing a thunderclast up close made Kalak shiver. The beast’s hand was as long as a man was tall. He’d been killed by hands like those before, and it hadn’t been pleasant. Of course, dying rarely was.
The humanities articles both use the same formal dry academic style, from which it’s hard to say anything. The first one is much worse in terms of long-winded verbiage, but that doesn’t say much. If I had to guess, I would toss a coin.
The Times articles are similarly written in a routine journalistic style (it reads like a telegram with some cliche phrases cut and pasted between the words), so again it’s hard to say anything. (Also, from what I know, news articles are heavily edited and it’s questionable how much individual style they preserve.) If I really had to guess, I would say the first is more likely to be female by an epsilon. Google confirms this is correct, but I admit I wouldn’t bet any money on it. (On the other hand, I wouldn’t be surprised if an experienced newspaper editor could guess much better.)
As for the short stories excerpts, well, that’s some bad prose. The first one sounds to me a bit more feminine; I’d say it’s something like a 60-40 guess. Googling these paragraphs, I see that I guessed right; admittedly, I wouldn’t have bet very much money on this one either.
Do you think Alicorn’s style doesn’t have the characteristics I described, or that such writing isn’t statistically likely to come from men?
Well, she thinks explicitly and abstractly, like most people here, and I suppose that could be more common in men, but I don’t think I’ve noticed anything especially male or female in her prose. I didn’t notice an unusual lack or predominance of pronouns. (Actually I think Alicorn, more than most LessWrongers, tends to illustrate ideas with anecdotes about individual people, whether real or hypothetical. So that would mean more pronouns—but then again, Eliezer has the same habit, and I don’t know if that means you’d consider his writing feminine.)
I’ve been collecting examples of Eliezer being mistaken for female; so far I’ve got six, plus two people uncertain. (Someone suggested that it’s because of his name, but I don’t remember why.)
Numerous cases in Methods of Rationality, especially during the early days. It’s as if they had priors suggesting that most Harry Potter fanfiction authors were female.
Writing style can’t be strictly separated from the choice of topic (or rather sub-topics addressed when writing on a given topic), and some of the most powerful clues come exactly from where these things blend into each other. Moreover, in interactive back-and-forth writing on forums and blogs, typical male and female behaviors and attitudes often quickly become apparent, just like in a live conversation, and are clearly detectable in writing.
Someone has already posted a link to a paper whose authors claim to have found measurable statistical differences between male and female styles, but I’m not sure how much (if at all) the usual human intuition relies on those specific clues.
But in any case, I don’t see where exactly you disagree with my above diagnosis, given that it’s discussing what I believe to be a fairly extreme and clear-cut case. Do you think Alicorn’s style doesn’t have the characteristics I described, or that such writing isn’t statistically likely to come from men?
If you have some samples ready, I’d be curious to give it a try.
Two writing samples, one male and one female, from humanities journals: First:
Second:
Two excerpts from New York Times articles, one male and one female:
First:
Second:
Two excerpts from short stories, one male and one female.
First:
Second:
The humanities articles both use the same formal dry academic style, from which it’s hard to say anything. The first one is much worse in terms of long-winded verbiage, but that doesn’t say much. If I had to guess, I would toss a coin.
The Times articles are similarly written in a routine journalistic style (it reads like a telegram with some cliche phrases cut and pasted between the words), so again it’s hard to say anything. (Also, from what I know, news articles are heavily edited and it’s questionable how much individual style they preserve.) If I really had to guess, I would say the first is more likely to be female by an epsilon. Google confirms this is correct, but I admit I wouldn’t bet any money on it. (On the other hand, I wouldn’t be surprised if an experienced newspaper editor could guess much better.)
As for the short stories excerpts, well, that’s some bad prose. The first one sounds to me a bit more feminine; I’d say it’s something like a 60-40 guess. Googling these paragraphs, I see that I guessed right; admittedly, I wouldn’t have bet very much money on this one either.
Well, she thinks explicitly and abstractly, like most people here, and I suppose that could be more common in men, but I don’t think I’ve noticed anything especially male or female in her prose. I didn’t notice an unusual lack or predominance of pronouns. (Actually I think Alicorn, more than most LessWrongers, tends to illustrate ideas with anecdotes about individual people, whether real or hypothetical. So that would mean more pronouns—but then again, Eliezer has the same habit, and I don’t know if that means you’d consider his writing feminine.)
I’ve been collecting examples of Eliezer being mistaken for female; so far I’ve got six, plus two people uncertain. (Someone suggested that it’s because of his name, but I don’t remember why.)
Numerous cases in Methods of Rationality, especially during the early days. It’s as if they had priors suggesting that most Harry Potter fanfiction authors were female.
Aren’t they? That’s always been my impression. Although I can think of a lot of exceptions, like you, nonjon, and the guy who wrote Wastelands.
Someone mentioned that his first name could be misread as Eliza.
I didn’t base my conclusion on pronouns at all. Maybe you missed my commend a few turns further up in the thread where I describe it in more detail.