The US was lead at the time by leaders who wanted to go to war in Irak. On the other hand, none of the leaders want to move troops towards China or go to war with China.
The conflict that US leaders want to have is one about trade. Then there’s a bunch of cyberwar where everybody hacks each other. Powerstruggle will continue to exist regardles of any blame around the virus.
I think the most likely way a physical war could happen if China thinks that it gained power in this exchange because the West is dependend on Chinese produced medical equipment and China decides to take China.
When we had pools that asked for existiential risks engineered bioweapons continue to be very high. Modeling this as a possible bioweapon means that you can get more resources to actually do decent work on that front.
The post doesn’t talk about nor imply a traditional war with congress approval. For example, placing a battleship in international waters but close enough China’s maritime space is enough to trigger another Arkhipov situation. This is just a specific scenario, some don’t lead to disastrous outcomes and some do. The post is intended to spark discussion, not set policy without debate, and point to the risks. As stated we entered 2020 in the worst level of risk ever, and then a pandemic happened, with a bunch of unthinkable events happening.
The US was lead at the time by leaders who wanted to go to war in Irak. On the other hand, none of the leaders want to move troops towards China or go to war with China.
The conflict that US leaders want to have is one about trade. Then there’s a bunch of cyberwar where everybody hacks each other. Powerstruggle will continue to exist regardles of any blame around the virus.
I think the most likely way a physical war could happen if China thinks that it gained power in this exchange because the West is dependend on Chinese produced medical equipment and China decides to take China.
When we had pools that asked for existiential risks engineered bioweapons continue to be very high. Modeling this as a possible bioweapon means that you can get more resources to actually do decent work on that front.
The post doesn’t talk about nor imply a traditional war with congress approval. For example, placing a battleship in international waters but close enough China’s maritime space is enough to trigger another Arkhipov situation. This is just a specific scenario, some don’t lead to disastrous outcomes and some do. The post is intended to spark discussion, not set policy without debate, and point to the risks. As stated we entered 2020 in the worst level of risk ever, and then a pandemic happened, with a bunch of unthinkable events happening.