Instead of an either/or decision based on first principles, you might frame this as a “when” decision based on evidence. We’ve had about 4 months of real-world experience with the mRNA vaccines… if you wait another 4 months, that’s double the track record, and it’s always possible that new options will open up (say, a more traditional vaccine that’s more effective than J&J).
The converse of that is that 225 million doses have been given and the serious negative effect rate is extremely low. It’s improbable that merely another doubling of time and doses will reveal any new information.
Ifthere is some new way this method causes the human body to fail it won’t be found for years.
Conversely, there’s still the risk of Covid, and isolation has holes. The biggest one being you might get sick and have to see medical treatment, and hospital acquired infections are estimated to happen 1.7 million times a year. And while being young your odds are good, there are illness ‘stacks’ where Covid would kill you. (some respiratory or autoimmune illness as well as covid at the same time, etc)
Instead of an either/or decision based on first principles, you might frame this as a “when” decision based on evidence. We’ve had about 4 months of real-world experience with the mRNA vaccines… if you wait another 4 months, that’s double the track record, and it’s always possible that new options will open up (say, a more traditional vaccine that’s more effective than J&J).
The converse of that is that 225 million doses have been given and the serious negative effect rate is extremely low. It’s improbable that merely another doubling of time and doses will reveal any new information.
Ifthere is some new way this method causes the human body to fail it won’t be found for years.
Conversely, there’s still the risk of Covid, and isolation has holes. The biggest one being you might get sick and have to see medical treatment, and hospital acquired infections are estimated to happen 1.7 million times a year. And while being young your odds are good, there are illness ‘stacks’ where Covid would kill you. (some respiratory or autoimmune illness as well as covid at the same time, etc)