Sorry, just realized I skipped over the first part of your comment.
It happens, but this should not be the initial assumption.
Doesn’t that depend on the prior? I think most holders of certain religious or political beliefs, for instance, do so for trivially wrong reasons*. Perhaps you mean it should not be the default assumption here?
It happens, but this should not be the initial assumption. And I’m not sure who you mean by “high-status LWers”.
Sorry, just realized I skipped over the first part of your comment.
Doesn’t that depend on the prior? I think most holders of certain religious or political beliefs, for instance, do so for trivially wrong reasons*. Perhaps you mean it should not be the default assumption here?
*Most conspiracy theories, for example.
I was referring to you. PrawnOfFate should not have expected you to make such a mistake, give the evidence.