[good models + grand vision grounded in that model] > [good models + modest goals] > [mediocre model + grand vision]
There are lots of reasons for this, but the main one is: Good models imply skill at model building, and thus have a measure of self-improvement. Grand vision implies skill at building grand vision unconnected to reality, which induces more error.
[I assume we’re all on board that a good, self-improving models combined with a grand vision is great, but in short supply]
[good models + grand vision grounded in that model] > [good models + modest goals] > [mediocre model + grand vision]
There are lots of reasons for this, but the main one is: Good models imply skill at model building, and thus have a measure of self-improvement. Grand vision implies skill at building grand vision unconnected to reality, which induces more error.
[I assume we’re all on board that a good, self-improving models combined with a grand vision is great, but in short supply]