Coming second in a nuclear arms race is not so bad, for example.
I wonder if you would feel the same way had Hitler been a bit more focused on a nuclear program and didn’t have that many prejudices against Jewish nuclear scientists...
The main difference I see with nuclear weapons is that if neither side pursues them then you end up in much the same place as if it’s very close, except that you have spent a lot on it.
While on AI, the benefits would be huge unless the failure is equally drastic.
I mostly had in mind this little anecdote.
I wonder if you would feel the same way had Hitler been a bit more focused on a nuclear program and didn’t have that many prejudices against Jewish nuclear scientists...
Ok, I’ll admit the model can be fitted to many different problems, but I still suspect that AI would fit it more naturally than most.
The main difference I see with nuclear weapons is that if neither side pursues them then you end up in much the same place as if it’s very close, except that you have spent a lot on it.
While on AI, the benefits would be huge unless the failure is equally drastic.