Unfortunately many attempts to figure this out end up as “I believe X is good morality, but not a lot of people do it. Well, everyone who disagrees with me about X is obviously biased by the fact that doing X is difficult. If doing X was easy, they would all be enlightened and recognize that I am correct about X”. Is there something that you don’t personally already think is moral, where changing circumstances would lead more people to think it’s moral in the future?
Also, it’s worth looking at the past as well and seeing what things did not change even though the theory you are using to predict changes in the future seems like it would predict them.
If doing X was easy, they would all be enlightened and recognize that I am correct about X
Do you have something in mind other than being vegan/vegetarian? That’s the only thing that’s coming to mind for me at the moment that fits this pattern.
Unfortunately many attempts to figure this out end up as “I believe X is good morality, but not a lot of people do it. Well, everyone who disagrees with me about X is obviously biased by the fact that doing X is difficult. If doing X was easy, they would all be enlightened and recognize that I am correct about X”. Is there something that you don’t personally already think is moral, where changing circumstances would lead more people to think it’s moral in the future?
Also, it’s worth looking at the past as well and seeing what things did not change even though the theory you are using to predict changes in the future seems like it would predict them.
Do you have something in mind other than being vegan/vegetarian? That’s the only thing that’s coming to mind for me at the moment that fits this pattern.