Check out Occam’s Razor. The Simulation Hypothesis requires that a real, physical universe exists, and that someone is simulating another universe within that “real” universe. P(our universe is a simulation within a “top level” universe) < P(ours is the “top level” universe), given no further evidence of simulation.
The God hypothesis (typically) assumes the existence of a complex, sentient being—not really a simple explanation when known physical laws can describe our observations.
P(our universe is a simulation within a “top level” universe) < P(ours is the “top level” universe), given no further evidence of simulation.
I thought the argument was that since there will almost certainly be more simulated universes than the one real one, we are more likely to be in a simulation? Note that I don’t have a strong opinion either way, I don’t see, despite Robin’s essay, that it makes any real difference.
Robin ultimately calculates that he is probably not a sim in this post. Much like the variables in the Drake equation, Robin’s probability estimates are built on a number of unknowns, so we really can’t do the calculation. But I have to admit that my own logic failed to take any of these variables into consideration, so please ignore that part of the grandfather.
Check out Occam’s Razor. The Simulation Hypothesis requires that a real, physical universe exists, and that someone is simulating another universe within that “real” universe. P(our universe is a simulation within a “top level” universe) < P(ours is the “top level” universe), given no further evidence of simulation. The God hypothesis (typically) assumes the existence of a complex, sentient being—not really a simple explanation when known physical laws can describe our observations.
I thought the argument was that since there will almost certainly be more simulated universes than the one real one, we are more likely to be in a simulation? Note that I don’t have a strong opinion either way, I don’t see, despite Robin’s essay, that it makes any real difference.
Robin ultimately calculates that he is probably not a sim in this post. Much like the variables in the Drake equation, Robin’s probability estimates are built on a number of unknowns, so we really can’t do the calculation. But I have to admit that my own logic failed to take any of these variables into consideration, so please ignore that part of the grandfather.