Under the obvious assumptions, P(red) equals P(blue), and P(green or blue) equals P(red or blue), and I can break ties in whichever way the hell I want and it doesn’t bloody matter, so this is not much of a paradox. On the other hand, if there were 29 (or 31) red balls and people still chose red over blue and green-or-blue over red-or-blue...
Hmm! I don’t know if that’s been tried. Speaking for myself, 31 red balls wouldn’t reverse my preferences.
But you could also have said, “On the other hand, if people were willing to pay a premium to choose red over green and green-or-blue over red-or-blue...” I’m quite sure things along those lines have been tried.
Under the obvious assumptions, P(red) equals P(blue), and P(green or blue) equals P(red or blue), and I can break ties in whichever way the hell I want and it doesn’t bloody matter, so this is not much of a paradox. On the other hand, if there were 29 (or 31) red balls and people still chose red over blue and green-or-blue over red-or-blue...
Hmm! I don’t know if that’s been tried. Speaking for myself, 31 red balls wouldn’t reverse my preferences.
But you could also have said, “On the other hand, if people were willing to pay a premium to choose red over green and green-or-blue over red-or-blue...” I’m quite sure things along those lines have been tried.