Alright, to try and make calibration easier, how about this thought experiment—which do you think would be more likely: that if you bought a random ticket, you’d then win the grand prize of a 1-in-a-1,000 lottery; or that atomic theory will be proven false? At what point does the odds of the lottery ticket seem to start coming close to the odds of falsifying atomic theory?
Alright, to try and make calibration easier, how about this thought experiment—which do you think would be more likely: that if you bought a random ticket, you’d then win the grand prize of a 1-in-a-1,000 lottery; or that atomic theory will be proven false? At what point does the odds of the lottery ticket seem to start coming close to the odds of falsifying atomic theory?