Ah. I didn’t realize you were referring to information asymmetry. That makes sense to me.
I still think you’re doing the updating math wrong. Qiaochu’s thing about you outside-view-ing too hard rings true from where I stand. But I think this is an epistemic disagreement you and I have had for way longer than four months. So… I guess my examples don’t get to be compelling to you. Oh well.
Ah. I didn’t realize you were referring to information asymmetry. That makes sense to me.
I still think you’re doing the updating math wrong. Qiaochu’s thing about you outside-view-ing too hard rings true from where I stand. But I think this is an epistemic disagreement you and I have had for way longer than four months. So… I guess my examples don’t get to be compelling to you. Oh well.