Those dates are not estimates for when a positive singularity will happen. They are estimates for when we will get AGI at roughly human level. The same people who made those estimates seem to expect a median ~20y between AGI and superintelligence.
Thank you for clarifying.
Those dates are not estimates for when a positive singularity will happen. They are estimates for when we will get AGI at roughly human level. The same people who made those estimates seem to expect a median ~20y between AGI and superintelligence.
Thank you for clarifying.