Thick: aggregate many noisy sources to make a sequential series of actions in mildly related environments, model-free RL
carnal sins: failure of prioritization / not throwing away enough information , nerdsnipes, insufficient aggegration, trusting too much in any particular model, indecisiveness, overfitting on noise, ignoring consensus of experts/ social reality
default of the ancestral environment
CEOs, general, doctors, economist, police detective in the real world, trader
Thin: precise, systematic analysis, preferably in repeated & controlled experiments to obtain cumulative deep & modularized knowledge, model-based RL
carnal sins: ignoring clues, not going deep enough, aggregating away the signal, prematurely discarding models that don’t fit naively fit the evidence, not trusting formal models enough / resorting to intuition or rule of the thumb, following consensus / building on social instead of physical reality
only possible in highly developed societies with place for cognitive specalists.
mathematicians, software engineers, engineers, historians, police detective in fiction, quant
Thin versus Thick Thinking
Thick: aggregate many noisy sources to make a sequential series of actions in mildly related environments, model-free RL
carnal sins: failure of prioritization / not throwing away enough information , nerdsnipes, insufficient aggegration, trusting too much in any particular model, indecisiveness, overfitting on noise, ignoring consensus of experts/ social reality
default of the ancestral environment
CEOs, general, doctors, economist, police detective in the real world, trader
Thin: precise, systematic analysis, preferably in repeated & controlled experiments to obtain cumulative deep & modularized knowledge, model-based RL
carnal sins: ignoring clues, not going deep enough, aggregating away the signal, prematurely discarding models that don’t fit naively fit the evidence, not trusting formal models enough / resorting to intuition or rule of the thumb, following consensus / building on social instead of physical reality
only possible in highly developed societies with place for cognitive specalists.
mathematicians, software engineers, engineers, historians, police detective in fiction, quant
Mixture: codebreakers (spying, cryptography)