The genre of plans that I’d recommend to groups currently pushing the capabilities frontier is: aim for a pivotal act that’s selected for being (to the best of your knowledge) the easiest-to-align action that suffices to end the acute risk period.
FYI, I think there’s a huge difference between “I think humanity needs to aim for a pivotal act” and “I recommend to groups pushing the capabilities frontier forward to aim for pivotal act”. I think pivotal acts require massive amounts of good judgement to do right, and, like, I think capabilities researchers have generally demonstrated pretty bad judgment by, um, being capabilities researchers.
FYI, I think there’s a huge difference between “I think humanity needs to aim for a pivotal act” and “I recommend to groups pushing the capabilities frontier forward to aim for pivotal act”. I think pivotal acts require massive amounts of good judgement to do right, and, like, I think capabilities researchers have generally demonstrated pretty bad judgment by, um, being capabilities researchers.