I’m also far from an expert in this field—I didn’t study anything technical, and didn’t have many friends who did, either. At the time I spoke to Anna, I wasn’t sure how to judge whether a singularity was even possible. At her suggestion, I asked some non-LW computer scientists (her further suggestion was to walk into office hours of a math or CS department at a university, which I haven’t done). They thought a singularity was fairly likely, and obviously hadn’t thought about any dangers associated with it. From reading Eliezer’s writings I’m convinced that a carelessly made AI could be disastrous. So from those points, I’m willing to believe that most computer scientists, if they succeeded in making an AI, would accidentally make an unfriendly one. Which makes me think SIAI’s cause is a good one.
But after reading GiveWell’s interview with SIAI, I don’t think they’re the best choice for my donation, especially since they say they don’t have immediate plans for more funding at this time. I’ll probably go with GiveWell’s top pick once they come out with their new ratings.
I’m also far from an expert in this field—I didn’t study anything technical, and didn’t have many friends who did, either. At the time I spoke to Anna, I wasn’t sure how to judge whether a singularity was even possible. At her suggestion, I asked some non-LW computer scientists (her further suggestion was to walk into office hours of a math or CS department at a university, which I haven’t done). They thought a singularity was fairly likely, and obviously hadn’t thought about any dangers associated with it. From reading Eliezer’s writings I’m convinced that a carelessly made AI could be disastrous. So from those points, I’m willing to believe that most computer scientists, if they succeeded in making an AI, would accidentally make an unfriendly one. Which makes me think SIAI’s cause is a good one.
But after reading GiveWell’s interview with SIAI, I don’t think they’re the best choice for my donation, especially since they say they don’t have immediate plans for more funding at this time. I’ll probably go with GiveWell’s top pick once they come out with their new ratings.